Arba Minch Kenema 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
41%
2.77
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.9pp
41%
Draw
33%
+8.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.21
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema and Dire Dawa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Arba Minch Kenema 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 32%, draw 41%, Dire Dawa Kenema 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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