Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
33%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.45/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.98
+58% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 HT 0-0 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha ETH
21.10.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
11.05.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-2 HT 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-0
AWAY Welayta Dicha
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Welayta Dicha 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Welayta Dicha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 38% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 62%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.00 for Welayta Dicha.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 26%, draw 33%, Welayta Dicha 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Welayta Dicha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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