Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.56
Over 2.5
27%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.0pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
73%
Under 2.5
60%
+12.9pp
27%
Over 2.5
40%
-12.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.3pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.42/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.98
+56% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
11.05.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-2 HT 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-0
AWAY Welayta Dicha
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna squeezed past Welayta Dicha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 26% — and on the day Ethiopia Bunna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 43% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 57%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.50 for Welayta Dicha.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 38%, draw 35%, Welayta Dicha 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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