Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.76/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.59
-24% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Adama City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Adama City Adama City 1-2 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
29.03.2024 Adama City Adama City 2-1 HT 1-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
0-1
AWAY Adama City
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City edged past Kedus Giorgis 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kedus Giorgis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 47% of the ball to Adama City's 53%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.50 for Adama City.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Adama City?

Kedus Giorgis 0-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 42%, draw 31%, Adama City 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
11 May 2025
18:00 Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha Analysis →