Nashville SC vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC 0-2 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Mazatlan saw off Nashville SC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 67% of the ball to Mazatlan's 33%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.35 to 1.05.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Mazatlan?
Nashville SC 0-2 Mazatlan in the Concacaf League Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 43%, draw 28%, Mazatlan 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.