San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics
Los Angeles Galaxy squeezed past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 39% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 61%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.38 to 2.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.83 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy in the Concacaf League Cup on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 33%, draw 25%, Los Angeles Galaxy 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.