San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.96
Over
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
21%
7.11
2-3
41%
2.2
4-5
25%
2.45
6+
13%
4.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.65
1/2
6%
21.15
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
8%
6.66
X/2
12%
5.73
X/X
8%
6.45
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
26%
2.97
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.8pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy The Market 45%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -23%
1.48/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.47
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
20.0 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.40 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 499
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3 HT 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
03.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
31.08.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
02.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 HT 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
15.05.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
25.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0-3
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.87 xG 2.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 544
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy swept aside San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 38% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 62%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.87 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.83 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

San Jose Earthquakes 0-3 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 31%, draw 24%, Los Angeles Galaxy 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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