New England Revolution 1-5 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

New England Revolution
1-5 HT 1-3
Columbus Crew
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 28% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.29
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
9%
6.86
X/2
12%
5.09
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
24%
2.84
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.32
-34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.4 Crosses 12.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 401
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
16.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
24.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
08.05.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
19.09.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.07.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-2 HT 1-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 1-5 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-5
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.35 xG 2.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 526
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew swept aside New England Revolution 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 40% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 60%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.35 to 2.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New England Revolution and 1.33 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?

New England Revolution 1-5 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 30%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ BTTS No
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