Nashville SC 1-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.33
-11% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.3 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 506
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
14.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CON
08.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
31.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
20.08.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
24.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
1-2
AWAY Inter Miami
1.42 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
448 Passes 406
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami nicked a narrow win over Nashville SC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 52% of the ball to Inter Miami's 48%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.42 to 0.91 — on chances, Nashville SC could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 1.83 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Nashville SC 1-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 43%, draw 25%, Inter Miami 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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