FC Dallas 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
11%
6.06
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
13%
5.22
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.28
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.49
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
14.7 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.38 xG 1.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
489 Passes 258
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2019 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
0-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.01 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
398 Passes 365
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati edged past FC Dallas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Dallas had 53% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.01 to 1.15.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati?

FC Dallas 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 38%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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