Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
21%
4.53
X/2
13%
7.61
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
8%
5.34
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.53/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.70
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.1 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Austin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.42 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Austin Austin 3-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
16.07.2023 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
11.06.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
14.08.2022 Austin Austin 4-3 HT 1-3 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
31.07.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-2 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
04.11.2021 Austin Austin 3-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2-0
AWAY Austin
1.86 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
339 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 4
17 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City got the better of Austin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 51% of the ball to Austin's 49%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 1.86 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.50 for Austin.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?

Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 46%, draw 28%, Austin 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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