Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.47
2-3 Goals
43%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.80 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
509 Passes 330
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
31.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
20.08.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
24.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
18.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
23.09.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-5 HT 0-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-1
AWAY Nashville SC
1.73 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
407 Passes 494
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami saw off Nashville SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 45% of the ball to Nashville SC's 55%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.73 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Miami and 1.83 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?

Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville SC in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 58%, draw 19%, Nashville SC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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