Club America vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Club America v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Club America 2-3 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Club America 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club America at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%) landed.
On the day, Club America had 59% of the ball to Guadalajara's 41%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.43 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Club America.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
Club America vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Club America 2 - 3 Guadalajara in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Club America vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Club America 65%, draw 20%, Guadalajara 15%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.