Club America vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-3
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Club America
MEK
2-4
HT 0-3
Club America
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Club America 2-3 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Club America 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Club America at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Club America had 59% of the ball to Guadalajara's 41%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.43 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Club America.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Club America vs Guadalajara?
Club America 2-3 Guadalajara in the CONCACAF Champions League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club America 48%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.