Guadalajara 0-3 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Mar 2024

Guadalajara
0-3 HT 0-1
Club America
📅07/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024

Guadalajara vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
29%
+14.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guadalajara v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
– Crosses 12.6
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Guadalajara vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 2-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
22.05.2023 Club America Club America 1-3 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
19.05.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
19.03.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-4 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
18.09.2022 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
13.03.2022 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK

Guadalajara 0-3 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
0-3
AWAY Club America
0.64 xG 1.38
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
296 Passes 543
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America ran out comfortable winners over Guadalajara 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Guadalajara had 38% of the ball to Club America's 62%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.64 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalajara and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Club America?

Guadalajara 0-3 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 44%, draw 26%, Club America 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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