Houston Dynamo 0-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.54
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 0.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
295 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
25.10.2020 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
28.04.2019 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.08.2018 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
12.03.2017 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-1 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
24.04.2016 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
0-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.78 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
383 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew edged past Houston Dynamo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 48% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 52%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.78 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 0.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Columbus Crew?

Houston Dynamo 0-1 Columbus Crew in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 46%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5
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