Aguila 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.11/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.86
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
15.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Aguila 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Aguila 62%, draw 23%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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