Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
-29% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.3 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
193 Passes 376
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
22.06.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSRK
30.03.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
02.12.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
17.07.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
24.12.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.17 xG 1.12
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
212 Passes 458
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon and Ceramica Cleopatra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 35% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 65%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.17 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Mokawloon and 1.00 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 37%, draw 29%, Ceramica Cleopatra 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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