Smouha 1-0 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
10%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.39/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.93
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.0 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Masry
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
07.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
16.05.2022 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.11.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
16.08.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-0
AWAY Al Masry
0.89 xG 0.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
242 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha nicked a narrow win over Al Masry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Smouha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Smouha had 37% of the ball to Al Masry's 63%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 0.67 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Al Masry?

Smouha 1-0 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Smouha 40%, draw 28%, Al Masry 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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