Al Ahly 1-0 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.77/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.43
+22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.1 Crosses 19.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
3W-2D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
439 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
29.06.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
24.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
18.05.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
31.10.2021 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
22.07.2021 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-0
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.41 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
308 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over National Bank of Egypt 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 49% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.83 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt?

Al Ahly 1-0 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 57%, draw 23%, National Bank of Egypt 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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