Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs ADT Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlos Manucci Trujillo v ADT — Team-Based Signals
Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs ADT Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Carlos Manucci Trujillo
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
ADT
PER
2-1
HT 2-1
Carlos Manucci Trujillo
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
ADT
PER
Carlos Manucci Trujillo 3-2 ADT — Actual Match Statistics
Carlos Manucci Trujillo nicked a narrow win over ADT 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was ADT at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 49% of the ball to ADT's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ADT led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 1.60 for ADT.
What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs ADT?
Carlos Manucci Trujillo 3-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs ADT?
Before kick-off our model rated an ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 33%, draw 23%, ADT 44%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.