Beijing Guoan 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
9%
12.25
X/X
10%
7.67
2/1
9%
17.85
2/2
13%
8.52
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.8
Value flag · 2/X at 16.8 — our 9% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.58
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
27.0 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
370 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2026 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
10.08.2025 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 HT 2-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
06.04.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
16.08.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
15.09.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-1
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
2.53 xG 0.46
21 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
487 Passes 238
39 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan nicked a narrow win over Zhejiang G. FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.53 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Beijing Guoan's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.83 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Beijing Guoan 2-1 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 50%, draw 25%, Zhejiang G. FC 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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