Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.14
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
11%
3.84
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.86
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.28/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.12
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
25.0 Crosses 21.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.11 xG 2.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
281 Passes 418
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
3 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2026 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 4-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJ
18.04.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.71 xG 1.43
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
287 Passes 270
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza saw off Union Santa Fe 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Mendoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.71 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 2.50 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 40%, draw 27%, Union Santa Fe 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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