Middelfart 4-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 1 Aug 2026

Middelfart
4-1 HT 3-0
Thisted
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2026/2027

Middelfart vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middelfart v Thisted — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +34%
1.49/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.03
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Middelfart vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Thisted
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-2 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.04.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 3-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
12.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
27.03.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.09.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 0-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.03.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 3-0 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart ran out comfortable winners over Thisted 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Middelfart and 0.67 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Thisted?

Middelfart 4-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 49%, draw 23%, Thisted 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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