Lyngby 2-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 31% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.88
1/2
9%
24.35
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
11%
6.28
X/2
8%
5.71
X/X
17%
5.1
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
26%
3.34
2/X
7%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.5pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.30/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.20
-22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.6 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.48 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 400
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
22.09.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
22.10.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 0-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
27.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
30.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
15.08.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
2-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
3.37 xG 1.35
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
355 Passes 204
32 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby and AGF Aarhus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.37 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lyngby and 1.17 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?

Lyngby 2-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 28%, draw 28%, AGF Aarhus 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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