Penrhyncoch 1-3 Porthmadog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Aug 2026

Penrhyncoch
1-3 HT 1-1
Porthmadog
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2026/2027

Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.0pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penrhyncoch v Porthmadog — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.91/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.50
+10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Porthmadog
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
25.03.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 2-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porthmadog got the better of Penrhyncoch 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Penrhyncoch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog?

Penrhyncoch 1-3 Porthmadog in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 43%, draw 20%, Porthmadog 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Penrhyncoch), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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