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Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Carmarthen Town v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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Carmarthen Town edged past Caerau (Ely) 4-3. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.50 for Caerau (Ely).
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Carmarthen Town 4 - 3 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 30%, draw 25%, Caerau (Ely) 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.