Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
55%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
2.10/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.80
+21% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Caersws
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.12.2025 Mold Alexandra 0-2 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
09.08.2025 Caersws Caersws 0-2 HT 0-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
08.02.2025 Mold Alexandra 2-2 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
07.09.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
29.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra and Caersws couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.50 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 41%, draw 27%, Caersws 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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