Mold Alexandra 0-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
15%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
51%
+10.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
15%
Away Win
25%
-9.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.75/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.42
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Caersws
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
09.08.2025 Caersws Caersws 0-2 HT 0-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
08.02.2025 Mold Alexandra 2-2 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
07.09.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
29.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws beat Mold Alexandra 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Mold Alexandra carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.40 for Caersws.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Mold Alexandra 0-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 62%, draw 23%, Caersws 15%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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