Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-1 Y Rhyl 1879 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Y Rhyl 1879 EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.97/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.04
-41% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Y Rhyl 1879
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
25.08.2025 Y Rhyl 1879 4-3 HT 3-0 Holyhead Hotspur FC Holyhead Hotspur FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Y Rhyl 1879
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC saw off Y Rhyl 1879 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Y Rhyl 1879 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 3-1 Y Rhyl 1879 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Before kick-off our model rated an Y Rhyl 1879 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 31%, draw 26%, Y Rhyl 1879 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Y Rhyl 1879) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Y Rhyl 1879) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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