Caersws 0-2 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.36/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.24
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
08.02.2025 Mold Alexandra 2-2 HT 1-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
07.09.2024 Caersws Caersws 0-1 HT 0-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
29.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caersws Caersws 4-0 HT 4-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra beat Caersws 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Caersws at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Caersws and 1.25 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?

Caersws 0-2 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caersws 43%, draw 21%, Mold Alexandra 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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