Trefelin vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trefelin v Newport City — Team-Based Signals
Trefelin vs Newport City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Newport City got the better of Trefelin 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and on the day Newport City made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trefelin and 2.00 for Newport City.
What was the final score of Trefelin vs Newport City?
Trefelin 0-2 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Newport City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 40%, draw 20%, Newport City 40%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.