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Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carmarthen Town v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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2-4
HT 0-3
Carmarthen Town
GALFAW
Carmarthen Town and Caerau (Ely) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.25 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Carmarthen Town 1-1 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 36%, draw 18%, Caerau (Ely) 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.