Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Carmarthen Town v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Carmarthen Town and Caerau (Ely) finished all square at 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Caerau (Ely) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals card split: both teams to score (58%) came in, over 2.5 goals (55%) didn't.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.25 for Caerau (Ely).
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Carmarthen Town 1 - 1 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Carmarthen Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 34%, draw 24%, Caerau (Ely) 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.