Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.41/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.63
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
12.04.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 HT 3-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
14.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 HT 0-2 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC squeezed past Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trethomas Bluebirds led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 3.50 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 57%, draw 20%, Trethomas Bluebirds 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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