Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.75/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.38
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.09.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 HT 0-2 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds cruised past Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Trethomas Bluebirds 4-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 41%, draw 30%, Pontypridd Town AFC 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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