Baglan Dragons 0-3 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.20
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ammanford
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.04.2025 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
18.08.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 0-2 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
17.02.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-3 HT 0-2 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
08.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford ran out comfortable winners over Baglan Dragons 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Ammanford made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ammanford led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baglan Dragons and 2.00 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Baglan Dragons 0-3 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 31%, draw 29%, Ammanford 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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