Ammanford 1-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
37%
3.54
Away
25%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.7pp
25%
Away Win
34%
-8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.06/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.04
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.08.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 0-2 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
17.02.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-3 HT 0-2 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
08.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford and Baglan Dragons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 36% / 25% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ammanford and 1.00 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?

Ammanford 1-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 38%, draw 36%, Baglan Dragons 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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