Girona 1-4 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

Girona
1-4 HT 0-2
Arsenal
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Girona vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.69
1/2
8%
23.1
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.87
X/2
19%
4.73
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.57
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Girona v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.52/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.23/1.61
-55% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 84%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
22.0 Crosses 15.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Girona vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.74 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
261 Passes 407
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.01.2025 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-2 Arsenal Arsenal ŞMP

Girona 1-4 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
1-4
AWAY Arsenal
1.01 xG 1.95
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 424
12 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Girona vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal ran out comfortable winners over Girona 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Girona vs Arsenal?

Girona 1-4 Arsenal in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Girona 26%, draw 24%, Arsenal 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Under 2.5
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