Heidenheim 4-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.41
No
51%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.92
2-3 Goals
47%
2.16
4-5 Goals
21%
2.32
6+ Goals
8%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
67%
-17.8pp
51%
BTTS No
33%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 23%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.79/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.01
-61% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 270
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-3 HT 1-2 Heidenheim Heidenheim HAZ
16.01.2022 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
31.07.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
19.05.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 4-2 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
16.12.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
31.03.2018 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
4-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim swept aside Ingolstadt 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Heidenheim as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidenheim had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Heidenheim and 1.50 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt?

Heidenheim 4-1 Ingolstadt in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 45%, draw 21%, Ingolstadt 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidenheim), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
1 Aug 2026
10:40 Lazio vs Avellino Analysis →
11:00 Levante vs Albacete Analysis →
11:00 Lucko vs Segesta Analysis →
11:00 Alcorcon vs Getafe II Analysis →
12:00 Bayer Leverkusen vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →
12:00 UD Logrones vs Osasuna II Analysis →