Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Unia Skierniewice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Unia Skierniewice EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
3-1
AWAY Unia Skierniewice
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa beat Unia Skierniewice 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?

Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Unia Skierniewice in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 44%, draw 30%, Unia Skierniewice 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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