Pogon Siedlce vs Nieciecza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Siedlce v Nieciecza — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Nieciecza Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL1
1-4
HT 1-1
Nieciecza
POL1
Pogon Siedlce 1-2 Nieciecza — Actual Match Statistics
Nieciecza nicked a narrow win over Pogon Siedlce 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Nieciecza made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 5-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 2.25 for Nieciecza.
What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Nieciecza?
Pogon Siedlce 1-2 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Nieciecza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 34%, draw 26%, Nieciecza 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.