Arka Gdynia 4-0 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.02
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 2-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
22.07.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
25.02.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 5-1 HT 2-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
13.08.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-3 HT 2-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
07.05.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-1 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
09.10.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-2 HT 2-2 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
4-0
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia swept aside Stal Rzeszow 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.50 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Arka Gdynia 4-0 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 47%, draw 25%, Stal Rzeszow 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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