Arka Gdynia 2-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
2.20/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.19
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
25.02.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 5-1 HT 2-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
13.08.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-3 HT 2-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
07.05.2023 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-1 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
09.10.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-2 HT 2-2 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia nicked a narrow win over Stal Rzeszow 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arka Gdynia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 58% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 42%, shots finished 25-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.60 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Arka Gdynia 2-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 52%, draw 24%, Stal Rzeszow 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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