San Antonio 3-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.56
No
56%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 34% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.9pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -20%
1.29/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.32
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.55 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
241 Passes 237
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.06.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
09.05.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-0 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio ABDK
15.10.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-3 HT 1-2 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
28.08.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
3-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.97 xG 1.13
24 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
587 Passes 215
32 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio got the better of Indy Eleven 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.97 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for San Antonio and 1.75 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Indy Eleven?

San Antonio 3-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 45%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →