Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.35/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.03
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.3 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.58 xG 0.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
221 Passes 226
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
13.08.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 3-2 HT 2-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
06.05.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
0-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.50 xG 0.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 418
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding nicked a narrow win over Hebei Kungfu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hebei Kungfu at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 46% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.50 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hebei Kungfu and 1.33 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Yanbian Longding?

Hebei Kungfu 0-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 49%, draw 28%, Yanbian Longding 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hebei Kungfu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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