Yanbian Longding 1-0 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.43
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.93/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.87
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.2 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
204 Passes 210
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 3-2 HT 2-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
06.05.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-0
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.02 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
270 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding squeezed past Hebei Kungfu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hebei Kungfu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 51% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.02 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yanbian Longding and 2.00 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu?

Yanbian Longding 1-0 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 30%, draw 27%, Hebei Kungfu 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
13 Apr 2024
10:30 Dalian Zhixing vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →
14:30 Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →
14:30 Yunnan Yukun vs Wuxi Wugou Analysis →