Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 20%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
0.94/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.06
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.0 Crosses 11.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
3-2
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
2.04 xG 1.72
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 153
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing squeezed past Liaoning Shenyang 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 65% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 35%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.04 to 1.72.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 45%, draw 30%, Liaoning Shenyang 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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