Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.58
2-3 Goals
45%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.3pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 12%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.69
+48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
Crosses 13.7
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-0
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.82 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 3
357 Passes 195
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun saw off Wuxi Wugou 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 62% of the ball to Wuxi Wugou's 38%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Wuxi Wugou?

Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 64%, draw 22%, Wuxi Wugou 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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