Burgos vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Burgos 0-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon got the better of Burgos 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day CD Castellon made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Burgos had 43% of the ball to CD Castellon's 57%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.68 to 1.53.
What was the final score of Burgos vs CD Castellon?
Burgos 0-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burgos 37%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS Yes went the other way.