Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
13%
3.77
X/2
10%
8.79
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
9%
7.73
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.40
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.3 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.04.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
11.12.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
05.03.2022 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
04.12.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
20.02.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
29.11.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.64 xG 0.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
332 Passes 229
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna edged past Racing Ferrol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 57% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 43%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.17 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Ferrol?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 48%, draw 26%, Racing Ferrol 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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