CD Guadalajara 2-0 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.81
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +47%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlético Paso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-1 HT 2-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
12.11.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
05.03.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
16.10.2022 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Atlético Paso
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Atlético Paso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day CD Guadalajara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 51% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlético Paso led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.25 for Atlético Paso.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 40%, draw 26%, Atlético Paso 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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